AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook)
AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook) is The models predicts the chance of an AI-generated mass catastrophe as 0.47% by 2030 (with a 1.1% chance of a catastrophe by 2030 with any cause).. It is ranked #130 on the AI Radar, in Safety & policy, first seen 8 days ago and shared in 4 posts (89k views).
Visit airo.forecastingresearch.org
What people said about AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook) on X
Here's a automated forecasting system to estimate catastrophic risk from some major experts on forecasting. The models predicts the chance of an AI-generated mass catastrophe as 0.47% by 2030 (with a 1.1% chance of a catastrophe by 2030 with any cause). https://airo.forecastingresearch.org/
— @emollick, 7 days ago · 320 likes · see the post
We (credits below) are releasing a dashboard of automated forecasts of catastrophic risk: https://airo.forecastingresearch.org/ Frontier models now forecast as well as good human forecasters, and they will soon be better. We will track what the best models predict over time.
— @Jabaluck, 8 days ago · 119 likes · see the post
Should be something in here to annoy everybody: - Obviously you should assign subjective probabilities to things, including doom. That's how probabilities work. - Being well-calibrated is a skill like any other, not "merely" your feelings. - The AIs are getting very good at this skill, and are probably better at it…
— @_AashishReddy, 21 h ago · 41 likes · see the post
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AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook) in numbers
- Rank on the AI Radar: #130 of 1183
- Shared in 4 posts by 3 accounts: @emollick, @Jabaluck, @_AashishReddy
- 89k views on those posts
- First seen 8 days ago, last shared 21 h ago
- Pricing seen by Jev: not stated
- Market: Safety & policy
FAQ
What is AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook)?
The models predicts the chance of an AI-generated mass catastrophe as 0.47% by 2030 (with a 1.1% chance of a catastrophe by 2030 with any cause). It was first shared on X 8 days ago and is ranked #130 on the AI Radar.
Is AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook) free?
Pricing is not stated on the page we read.
Who shared AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook)?
3 accounts on X, including @emollick, @Jabaluck, @_AashishReddy, in 4 posts totalling 89k views.
Every post is read and classified by Jev (TypeSafe): what it is, which market it belongs to, and whether the link is a real tool. 27.1k posts from 4.8k X accounts over the last 14 days, 1.2k tools, 19 markets. Collected every 5 minutes, fully re-ranked every hour — last update 2026-09-19 17:00 UTC. Full method.