Should be something in here to annoy everybody:
This is a AI post classified by Jev as Safety & policy (an opinion), kept by the AI Radar because it carries real work, not commentary.
Should be something in here to annoy everybody: - Obviously you should assign subjective probabilities to things, including doom. That's how probabilities work. - Being well-calibrated is a skill like any other, not "merely" your feelings. - The AIs are getting very good at this skill, and are probably better at it than you are. - The AIs assign very low subjective probability to doom (below from https://airo.forecastingresearch.org) C: You should have a p(doom), and it should be very, very low (on the order of 1%, though I'm less than that)
Posted by Aashish Reddy (2.5k followers) 23 h ago · 41 likes · 3.5k views · view the original post on X. Kept by the AI Radar as Safety & policy. Tools mentioned: AIRO (Automated AI Risk Outlook).
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